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April 30, 2024

Chart USD/TRY Update: Turning away from highs - studies under pressure
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April 30, 2024 11:22 AM UTC

Anticipated cautious gains have reached 32.6160

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Lower towards 18.4100 - 18.5000
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April 30, 2024 11:01 AM UTC

Anticipated losses have broken below 18.7500 to reach 18.5800

European Summary and Highlights 30 Apr
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April 30, 2024 10:31 AM UTC

USD/JPY remains in focus. 

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Higher in range
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April 30, 2024 10:20 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a test higher

Psychology for major markets Apr 30
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April 30, 2024 10:03 AM UTC

EUR firm after stronger GDP

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Eurozone Data Review: Less Weak But Soft Domestic Demand Taking Less Toll on Core Inflation?
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 9:29 AM UTC

According to revised official national accounts data, the EZ economy was in recession in H2 last year, albeit modestly so and against a backdrop of marked, if not increasing, national growth divergences. This geographical variation continued into Q1 (Figure 1) where the flash GDP reading exceeded ex

FX Daily Strategy: N America, April 30th
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April 30, 2024 9:14 AM UTC

Eurozone GDP outperforms consensus...
...with CPI also marginally firm
EUR/USD only modestly bid for now
USD/JPY still has a lot of potential downside, but patience needed

EUR flows: EUR stays steady despite strong GDP
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 8:33 AM UTC

Eurozone GDP beating consensus, suggesting upside risks for EUR

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Cautious trade - studies edging higher
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April 30, 2024 8:25 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above support at 0.9760

Chart USD/CHF Update: Range extension
Freemium Article

April 30, 2024 8:15 AM UTC

Still little change

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Critical support at 0.8492/00
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 7:54 AM UTC

The anticipated break below 0.8547/50 is meeting support just above 0.8525

Chart EUR/USD Update: Consolidating - background studies improving
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 7:42 AM UTC

No significant change, as prices extend cautious trade above 1.0700

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating gains - daily studies edging higher
Freemium Article

April 30, 2024 7:28 AM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached 1.2569

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Extending corrective bounce from 1.6290 low
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 7:23 AM UTC

Bounce at the 1.6290 low see prices unwinding the oversold daily studies and correcting steep losses from the 1.6680 high

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Consolidating, scope for deeper pullback from 200.55 high
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 7:11 AM UTC

Turned up from support at the 194.00/193.55 congestion to consolidate sharp rejection from the 200.55 high

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Room for deeper pullback from the 104.95 spike high
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 6:57 AM UTC

Leaning lower as the long wick at the 104.95 high weighs

EUR flows: EUR soft despite stronger data
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April 30, 2024 6:55 AM UTC

French GDP and German retail sales on the strong side, but EUR/USD initially soft. But little reason to move away from 1.07.

Chart USD/MYR Update: Leaning lower from 4.7955 high
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 5:53 AM UTC

Leaning lower from the 4.7955 high as prices unwind the overbought daily studies

Chart USD/CNH Update: Still supported at 7.2340
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 5:39 AM UTC

Lower in consolidation from the 7.2830 high to retest the 7.2340 support and trendline from the late-December low

Chart USD/INR Update: Focus return to the 83.5750, all-time high
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 5:22 AM UTC

Break above the 83.4550 resistance extend bounce from the 83.2650 low of last week and expose the 83.5750 all-time high to retest

Asia Summary and Highlights 30 Apr
Freemium Article

April 30, 2024 5:16 AM UTC

USD/JPY relatively quiet  on Tuesday after Monday's intervention

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, April 30th
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April 30, 2024 5:13 AM UTC

Eurozone HICP may have mild upside risks…
…but GDP risks look to be to the downside
EUR/USD unlikely to move far from 1.07
USD/JPY still has a lot of potential downside, but patience needed

AUD/USD flows:
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 5:12 AM UTC

Australia March Retail Sales -0.4% m/m (expected +0.2%)

USD/JPY flows: Relatively quiet
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April 30, 2024 4:48 AM UTC

USD/JPY relatively quiet  on Tuesday after Monday's intervention

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Poised for retest of 16284 high
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April 30, 2024 3:00 AM UTC

Higher to extend bounce from the 16139 low and see scope to retest the 16284 high

Chart USD/THB Update: Still firm, but 37.18/37.24 highs seen capping
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April 30, 2024 2:43 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation around the 37.00 level from the 37.18 high

Chart USD/KRW Update: Holds steady above 1371.00/1368.00 lows
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April 30, 2024 2:27 AM UTC

Little change, as prices remains in consolidation above the 1371.00/1368.00 support

Chart USD/SGD Update: Room for deeper pullback from 1.3670 high
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April 30, 2024 2:20 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation above the 1.3578 support

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending gains, scope to 1.2600 level
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 2:06 AM UTC

Break above the 1.2518 resistance has seen gains to 1.2570 high.

Chart EUR/USD Update: Extend consolidation below 1.0750 high
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April 30, 2024 1:54 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation below the 1.0750 congestion

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating sharp pullback from 171.60 high
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 1:30 AM UTC

 Turned up in consolidation from the 166.00/165.63 support as prices unwind oversold intraday studies

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating sharp pullback from 160.20 high
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 1:09 AM UTC

Turned up from the 155.00/154.51 support area as prices consolidate the sharp pullback from 160.20 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Extending gains, room to .6000 level
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April 30, 2024 12:41 AM UTC

 Clear break above the .5950 resistance extends gains from the low of last week to reach .5985 high

Chart AUD/USD Update: Still firm, but stretched
Paying Article

April 30, 2024 12:23 AM UTC

Settled back from the .6586 high as prices unwind overbought intraday studies

April 29, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia April 30th
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

Eurozone HICP may have mild upside risks…
…but GDP risks look to be to the downside
EUR/USD unlikely to move far from 1.07
USD/JPY still has a lot of potential downside, but patience needed

North American Summary and Highlights 29 Apr
Freemium Article

April 29, 2024 8:01 PM UTC

Overview - USD/JPY continued to see volatility but with little net change in Europe or North America. 

Preview: Due May 14 - U.S. April PPI - New Year strength fading
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 6:08 PM UTC

We expect a 0.3% increase in April’s PPI, with gains of 0.2% in the core rates ex food and energy and ex food, energy and trade. The core rates would match March’s outcome which slowed from above trend gains in January and February. 

Chart USD/BRL Update: Prices remain under pressure
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 3:50 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on congestion support at 5.1000 and the 5.1085 Fibonacci retracement

Chart USD/CAD Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Freemium Article

April 29, 2024 3:40 PM UTC

Little change, as a tick higher in intraday studies keeps near-term sentiment cautious

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, April 30th
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 3:17 PM UTC

Eurozone HICP may have mild upside risks…
…but GDP risks look to be to the downside
EUR/USD unlikely to move far from 1.07
USD/JPY still has a lot of potential downside, but patience needed

Chart AUD/USD Update: Strong resistance at 0.6600
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 1:27 PM UTC

The anticipated test of resistance at 0.6560 has extended to 0.6585~

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating post-intervention trade
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 1:19 PM UTC

Post-intervention trade is giving way to consolidation

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating following intervention
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 1:03 PM UTC

Post-intervention trade from the 160.20~ current day high is settling into consolidation above 156.00

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China: Depreciation Rather Than Devaluation
Paying Article

April 29, 2024 1:00 PM UTC

We feel that a devaluation of the Yuan is unlikely in 2024, both to avoid potentially politically destabilizing capital outflows but also to avoid upsetting the next U.S. president.  Policy is geared more towards controlled depreciation to help competiveness but reduce other risks.  The Yuan has a

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Growth Gains But Inflation Pains: RBI's view on Indian Economy
Freemium Article

April 29, 2024 12:42 PM UTC

Minutes of the latest Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s monetary policy committee meeting revealed a nuanced outlook blending optimism regarding India's growth trajectory with apprehensions surrounding inflationary risks. While upbeat macroeconomic indicators paint a favourable picture, the committee re